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1. Introduction
1.1 Energy & History
1.2 The Next Energy Transition
2. Energy Futures
2.1 Four Energy Futures
2.2 Views of the Future
Human Capital
Collapse
Energy Descent
Permaculture
3. Climate & Peak Oil
3.1 Climate Change
3.2 Energy Reserves & Production Peaks
3.3 Collapsing Oil Exports
3.4 Net Energy Return
3.5 Associated Issues
4. Descent Scenarios
4.1 Scenario Planning
4.2 Interaction of Energy and Climate
4.3 Four Descent Scenarios
Brown Tech
Green Tech
Earth Steward
Lifeboats
Summary
5. Reactions
5.1 Depressing and Positive Scenarios
5.2 Scenarios in Different Places
5.3 Stepped Descent
5.4 Nested Scenarios
5.5 Relevance of Mainstream Sustainability
5.6 Relevance of Principles
5.7 Permaculture Meta-Scenarios
6. Conclusion
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Gallery / Life Boats / FS-LB_001.jpg

FS-LB_001.jpg

FS-LB_001.jpg
FS-LB_001.jpg
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Kangaroo hunting Australia 2006

In the Lifeboat scenario, climate change makes agriculture impossible in many marginal areas and poverty make livestock farming difficult (stock stealing) Hunting becomes the prime method for harvesting animal protein, furs and other products. Low tech methods such as snaring and trapping are widespread but the efficiency of firearms and their additional value as the symbol of security gives status and importance to the skilled hunter and gunsmith in a world of want and fear. Powder and other components for amunition become strategic materials.

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All photos by David Holmgren unless otherwise noted. David's photos are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 Unported License. For the gallery software we are indebted to the communty who have created the open source project Gallery2.
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