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1. Introduction
1.1 Energy & History
1.2 The Next Energy Transition
2. Energy Futures
2.1 Four Energy Futures
2.2 Views of the Future
Human Capital
Collapse
Energy Descent
Permaculture
3. Climate & Peak Oil
3.1 Climate Change
3.2 Energy Reserves & Production Peaks
3.3 Collapsing Oil Exports
3.4 Net Energy Return
3.5 Associated Issues
4. Descent Scenarios
4.1 Scenario Planning
4.2 Interaction of Energy and Climate
4.3 Four Descent Scenarios
Brown Tech
Green Tech
Earth Steward
Lifeboats
Summary
5. Reactions
5.1 Depressing and Positive Scenarios
5.2 Scenarios in Different Places
5.3 Stepped Descent
5.4 Nested Scenarios
5.5 Relevance of Mainstream Sustainability
5.6 Relevance of Principles
5.7 Permaculture Meta-Scenarios
6. Conclusion
Extras
Endnotes
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Gallery / Green Tech / FS-GT_003.jpg

FS-GT_003.jpg

FS-GT_003.jpg
FS-GT_003.jpg FS-GT_003.jpg
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Solar retrofit of old barn at Klein Jasedow community Pommerland, eastern Germany www.kleinjasedow-familie.de 2005
In the Green Tech scenario expansion in photovoltaic power is accelerated as new more efficient technology becomes available but growth is constrained by bottlenecks in production and excessive demand, so as a proportion of total energy supply solar remains small

Download photo (3072x2048)

Creative Commons License
All photos by David Holmgren unless otherwise noted. David's photos are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 Unported License. For the gallery software we are indebted to the communty who have created the open source project Gallery2.
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