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Nav: Home
1. Introduction
1.1 Energy & History
1.2 The Next Energy Transition
2. Energy Futures
2.1 Four Energy Futures
2.2 Views of the Future
Human Capital
Collapse
Energy Descent
Permaculture
3. Climate & Peak Oil
3.1 Climate Change
3.2 Energy Reserves & Production Peaks
3.3 Collapsing Oil Exports
3.4 Net Energy Return
3.5 Associated Issues
4. Descent Scenarios
4.1 Scenario Planning
4.2 Interaction of Energy and Climate
4.3 Four Descent Scenarios
Brown Tech
Green Tech
Earth Steward
Lifeboats
Summary
5. Reactions
5.1 Depressing and Positive Scenarios
5.2 Scenarios in Different Places
5.3 Stepped Descent
5.4 Nested Scenarios
5.5 Relevance of Mainstream Sustainability
5.6 Relevance of Principles
5.7 Permaculture Meta-Scenarios
6. Conclusion
Extras
Endnotes
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Gallery / Green Tech / FS-GT_012.jpg

FS-GT_012.jpg

FS-GT_012.jpg
FS-GT_012.jpg FS-GT_012.jpg
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Solar cookers Gaia ecovillage Argentina. 2005 In background solar hot water heater and thatch roof cob community building.

In the Green Tech scenario, small scale simple appropriate technologies begin to grow and spread with and without government support, as part of a wider economic and political move toward Relocalisation.

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Creative Commons License
All photos by David Holmgren unless otherwise noted. David's photos are licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 3.0 Unported License. For the gallery software we are indebted to the communty who have created the open source project Gallery2.
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