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Future Scenarios

Mapping the Cultural Implications of Peak Oil and Climate Change

  • Future Scenarios
  • About

Ostii

  • RELAUNCH 2021
  • 1. INTRODUCTION
    • 1.1 Energy & History
    • 1.2 Then Next Energy Transition
  • 2. ENERGY FUTURES
    • 2.1 Four Energy Futures
    • 2.2 Views of the Future
      • Human Capital
      • Collapse
      • Energy Descent
      • Permaculture
  • 3. CLIMATE & PEAK OIL
    • 3.1 Climate Change
    • 3.2 Energy and Reserve Production Peaks
    • 3.3 Collapsing Oil Exports
    • 3.4 Net Energy Return
    • 3.5 Associated Issues
  • 4. DESCENT SCENARIOS
    • 4.1 Scenario Planning
    • 4.2 Interaction of Peak Oil and Climate
    • 4.3 Four Descent Scenarios
      • Brown Tech
      • Green Tech
      • Earth Steward
      • Lifeboats
      • Summary
  • 5. REACTIONS
    • 5.1 Depressing and Positive Scenarios
    • 5.2 Different Scenarios in Different Places
    • 5.3 Stepped Descent
    • 5.4 Nested Scenarios
    • 5.5 Relevance of Mainstream Sustainability
    • 5.6 Relevance of Principles
    • 5.7 Permaculture Meta-scenarios
  • 6. CONCLUSION
  • AFTERWORD 2021

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